Thursday, March 22, 2012

Bad Variance & Good Variance

Let's talk abt my tournament first because they are nothing much to talk about. Started the day busting $2.20 the Big and $2.20 in micro millions and then proceed to $11 time game. Got lucky and cashed out $34 after two flips last two hands. I also tried the $11 knockout turbo and was knocked out in the first round, sigh! Thats about it.

AA vs JJ (Bust)
I'm beginning my cash games with a rant. I maintain my stakes at $0.10/$0.25, just try in for one more time. I started the day early with an AA vs JJ, we went all-in pre but his cards weren't turn over until the showdown (you can choose this in the setting). When I saw kings came my jaw drop I knew that was it, but it was the J in the turn that made him a set. 2 outs to suck me out and he did, full buy-in gone.

KK vs AA (Bust)
Later I was dealt KK, and this time round I went in pre against an AA. Of course I lost, how can I get so lucky than the other guy who suck me out? <-- typically thoughts when tilt. Another full buy-in gone.

AA vs 88 (Bust)
Third time I was dealt AA again. This time I three betted a passive guy who seldom bet after flop, you heard me seldom+after the flop. He called. Flop came QQ8, he shoved. I was uh? I put him on kings when I called him, did I put him on kings or did I wished he had kings..? He turn over 88 and took all my money.


After 3 such encounters in less than 500 hands who do you think still can play on? No matter how I loved and respected the mental game of poker and how it did helped my game, time and time again these beats still get to my head. And then I had my fair share of good variance.......

AT vs QQ
I think I was somehow tilted or maybe I am not that good at multi-tabling, I called this guy's raise, who was taunting the other guy at the table, 3 of us are in the hand, because the other guy accused him of a bluff and he said nextime you call. Flop came T52. He just shoved, a serious over bet. The other guy folded and I would fold if I was thinking properly but I mis-clicked a call. I think I thought it was just a standard raise and damn I instantly felt doomed. Turn came another T and I sucked out, surprisingly I wasn't bad mouthed.

66 vs 44
Called a raise and flop J64. Turn 3 and river 7, almost couldn't get paid because of the stupid board. I called his raise on flop and then lead the bet on turn, he re-raise me and I 4-bet him because I was out of position and wanted to lead the river bet. I shoved on river bet and he called. One of my biggest pot.

JQ vs AJ
Flop KT7 and he was raising like 1bb and I was like getting free cards. Turn A and he raised standard bet I flat called. River 4 and I lead the bet about half pot sized because I didn't think he had any cards that would re-raised me so hoping for a call, but he re-raised a pot size and I shoved and get called. I had the nut straight and there was no flush or paired on the board.

66 vs A?
Flop a quads, I think guy hits an on the river and bets. I re-raised too high and he didn't call.

33 vs A9
Same guy. I think this time he thought for so long and called me in the river with nut flush, not easy to lay down against a guy who shoved at u on river the second time. I think easier to see if I copy n paste below from poker-tracker..


PokerStars - $0.25 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3: http://www.pokertracker.com

UTG: $25.25
CO: $25.00
BTN: $24.76
SB: $37.27
Hero (BB): $51.07

SB posts SB $0.10, Hero posts BB $0.25

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero has 3c 3d

fold, fold, BTN raises to $0.75, fold, Hero calls $0.50

Flop: ($1.60, 2 players) Ks Js 3s
Hero checks, BTN bets $0.75, Hero calls $0.75

Turn: ($3.10, 2 players) 2s
Hero checks, BTN checks

River: ($3.10, 2 players) 2d
Hero bets $1.50, BTN raises to $6.00, Hero raises to $21.75, BTN calls $15.75

Hero shows 3c 3d (Full House, Threes full of Twos) (Pre 53%, Flop 72%, Turn 23%)
BTN mucks As 9c (Flush, Ace High) (Pre 47%, Flop 28%, Turn 77%)
Hero wins $44.60



So I ended the day with about +2.5 buy-ins surprisingly. So tiring mentally and I needed a break, read some blogs and poker video in youtube. I am basically unemployed now and grinding everyday. Staying at my gf house in the meantime and I so much free time to do whatever I want. Today I will just focus on cash games, and good luck to me. Talking about video I came across a few Daniel Negreanu's video which I'm truly amazed.. this is one. Enjoy!

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